To:                   Charlotte Gregory, Interim Superintendent

From:               Sandra Owens, Business Manager

Date:                November 3, 2009

Subject:            Updated Financial 5 Year Plan

 

In planning for the financial future of the school district it was asked that the 5 year financial plan be updated using known information and assumptions based on historic planning formats. In doing this several assumptions have been used to establish the projected level of tax increase/decrease necessary to sustain the district programs and the proposed 19.7 million dollar capital project. The following information is offered as a means of understanding the information and the assumptions used to reach the projections for financial planning through June 2015.

 

2010-2011 Projection

 

  • Revenue Assumptions
    • State Aid assumption based on a 2% increase as a result of expanded services being purchased through QIII and the expectation of continued BOCES Aid.
    • The use of 85k from the ERS Reserve set up to help phase in the increase projections from the State Retirement System.
    • The use of 225k of prior year budget surplus, an increase of 81k. (This has been as high as 400k+ in the past.)

 

  • Expenditure Assumptions
    • Salary based on 3% increase and retirement of 3 teachers at the end of 09-10 with MA3 used as replacement salaries.
    • Assumes projected increases in Teachers Retirement as well as State Employee Retirement System’s.
    • Increase to health insurance based on replacement of all known retirements and continuation of insurance for each retiree.
    • Energy growth of 5% although decreases have been seen through electric decrease and the close monitoring of fuel pricing and strategic purchasing.

 

2011-2012 Projection

 

  • Revenue Assumptions
    • State Aid again assumes 2% growth based on formulas currently used for expense driven codes such as transportation and Questar III services.
    • No reserve money being used this year as the tax growth is under 5% - leave money to be used later to help build for project bump.
    • The use of 250k of prior year budget surplus.

 

  • Expenditure Assumptions
    • Salary based on the assumption of 2 retirements and savings for replacements at MA3.
    • Growth of benefits at 5% based on historic data once double digit increases are built in to system. (2007-08 growth was 185k, 2008-09 growth was 319k, 2009-10 growth was 48k due to SES closure – 2010-11 projection at 625k -future years calculated around 225k)
    • Energy growth at 5%.

 

2012-2013 Projection

 

  • Revenue Assumptions
    • Continuation of 2% growth assumption in State Aid.
    • New Building Aid project aid added to this year as the first payment will be due June 2013 prior to end of year. Aid based on 19.7m project as estimated by B. Donegan’s documents dated 9/29/09.
    • Use of reserves to smooth out increase necessary to bring the new payment into the budget calculation. (25k unemployment reserve use-50k retirement reserve use – 250k employee reserve use)
    • The use of 325k from prior year budget surplus.

 

  • Expenditure Assumptions
    • Salary growth of 3% less projected Grafton Elementary savings and the assumption of 2 retirements being replaced at MA3.
    • Benefit growth of 5% less projected savings as a result of GES closure.
    • Energy growth of 5% less projected savings as a result of GES closure.
    • Bond payment as a result of 19.7m project as estimated by B. Donegan’s documents dated 9/29/09.

 

2013-2014 Projection

 

  • Revenue Assumptions
    • Continuation of 2% growth assumption in State Aid.
    • The use of 100k from employee benefit reserve and 50k from retirement reserve for a total of 150k. (If no other contributions are made to retirement reserve this will deplete the reserve.)
    • The use of 300k from prior year budget surplus.

 

  • Expenditure Assumptions
    • Salary growth of 3% with 2 retirements being replaced at MA3.
    • Benefit growth of 5%.
    • Energy growth of 5%.

 

2014-2015 Projection

 

  • Revenue Assumptions
    • The use of district reserve in the amount of 100k from employee benefit reserve; this is assumed to be the final year that the use of reserves is necessary.
    • The use of 300k from prior year budget surplus.

 

  • Expenditure Assumptions
    • No retirements in projection
    • All other areas assume same growth as in 2013-2014 projection.